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How a £1.93m gap became a balanced budget

Movement in the 2026/27 forecast between July 2025 and February 2026, £'000. Red bars added to the gap, green bars closed it.

Gap forecast Jul 2025Corporate itemsTemporary accommodation demand growthGarden waste income shortfallParking income shortfallWaste savings unachievableWaste agency costsCemetery income shortfallTrade waste income shortfallFair Funding Review: extra government grantExtended Producer Responsibility grantCapital contribution removed from revenueMaintenance contribution removedEfficiency savingsGap Feb 2026£0k£800k£1,600k£2,400k£3,200k

Three year gap, July 2025

£5,063k

Three year gap, February 2026

£579k

Still to find in 2027/28 and 2028/29

£206k + £373k

The single biggest swing was the Fair Funding Review. Government's new formula recognises actual spend on temporary accommodation, which lifted EEBC's core spending power by 20% while Surrey County Council's rose 0.97%. Efficiency savings of £230k are still to be delivered in year; corporate contingency covers the risk if they slip.

Where the borough's £11.9m comes from

Net budget funding, £'000, 2025/26 vs 2026/27

Source2025/262026/27Change
Council tax7,8848,175+291
Retained business rates2,1092,554+445
Government grant (incl. RSG)4091,688+1,279
Collection fund prior years-133-549-416
Total net budget10,26911,868+1,599

Council tax is 69% of funding. Government grant quadrupled after the Fair Funding Review. The council keeps roughly 40% of business rates collected locally; the rest goes to government and Surrey CC. No Surrey business rates pool operates in 2026/27 following the national reset.

Net budget by committee

£'000 and year on year change

Community & Wellbeing

+1,363k (24%)
5,798 → 7,161

Environment

+424k (11%)
3,803 → 4,227

Licensing & Planning Policy

+8k (1%)
1,279 → 1,287

Strategy & Resources

-196k (-15%)
1,330 → 1,134

A £1,941k accounting adjustment (capital charges reversed) reconciles committee totals to the £11,868k net budget.

Reserves

Forecast at 31 March 2026 (forecast), £'000

£0m£4m£7m£11m£14mGeneral Fund workingbalanceCorporate ProjectsContingencies(restricted)Ringfenced grants
Thin headroom

The General Fund working balance is £1,555k against a £1,500k minimum set in July 2025. Only £3.53m of the £16.4m total is available for general use; the rest is earmarked for specific risks.

Property income cover

The budget relies on a £1.35m dividend from Epsom & Ewell Property Investment Company. A £5.7m equalisation reserve exists in case a tenant is lost.

Risks flagged by the Section 151 Officer

Budget Report section 15 and Appendix 11

  • Homelessness demand

    2025/26 ran £520k over budget at Q3, mainly housing. An extra £750k is budgeted for 2026/27.

  • Income shortfalls

    Parking (£100k), garden waste (£125k), cemetery (£70k) and trade waste (£60k) all fell short of earlier assumptions.

  • Commercial tenants

    Loss of an EEPIC or estates tenant would hit income directly. Covered by the equalisation reserve.

  • Savings delivery

    £230k of efficiencies must land in year. Corporate contingency is the fallback.

  • Reorganisation costs

    One off £454k LGR contribution sits outside the revenue budget, funded from the Strategic Priorities reserve.

The Chief Finance Officer concluded the 2026/27 estimates are robust and reserves adequate. Pay award budgeted at 3% (£619k).

Sources

Budget Report 2026/27 to Full Council, 10 February 2026 (sections 2, 4, 5, 9, 10, 12, 13, 15 and 18). Approved 19 for, 6 against, 4 abstentions. Budget Report · Budget Book 2026/27 · All financial reports